Oscar Predictions, Using Numbers, Not Just Our GI Track

Oct. 27 2008, Published 7:07 a.m. ET

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MAN OF MYSTERY Oscar (Photo: Getty Images) It's been a rough, strike-ridden few months for Hollywood, so expect Sunday's Oscars to play out like an awkward family dinner where everyone's just trying to pretend that all is A-okay, even though little Juno is obviously knocked up.

Sure, Jon Stewart will acknowledge the awkwardness throughout, and mine it for humor, but mostly everyone will lay low, pass the gravy, hand out the trophies and get out alive. The only raging debate is No Country for Old Men or There Will Be Blood, and really they're both movies about dudes (bad ones) with similar tones (dark, intense) and some of the same players (uber producer Scott Rudin produced No Country and exec-produced There Will Be Blood, meaning he'd only get the trophy if the first one wins, but wouldn't be too bummed if Blood took it). George Clooney is calling himself the "Hillary Clinton" of this year's awards, and he's mid-backlash, so expect him to stay off the stage.

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But remember through it all: The Oscars are as much about the strength of the marketing and publicity campaigns as they are about the strengths of the films themselves. With that in mind, Radar came up with a super scientific means of measuring this: Google, Lexis, and Technorati search result numbers (nominee+movie title+oscar+win in search field). Pseudo scientific picks after the jump.



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