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Forecasting Life in the Clink for Scooter

Oct. 27 2008, Published 7:07 a.m. ET

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BOUND FOR CAMP Libby

With his fresh conviction on four counts of perjury and obstruction of justice, Scooter Libby might want to start thinking about where he could spend the next decade or so.

He'll likely get no more than 10 years of the maximum 25-year sentence, says Allan Ellis, former president of the National Association of Criminal Defense Laywers. "And he'll be placed at the least-restricted facility within 500 miles of his residence," Ellis adds, which is most likely the federal prison camp in Cumberland, Maryland.

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"FPCs are not Club Feds," Ellis says. "You won't find violent offenders there, but only 15 percent of the inmates are 'white collar.' Over half will be drug offenders." That's not to say Libby will experience the joys of prison tats and tossed salads or ever really reap the rewards of being a convict named "Scooter." "You are deprived of your liberty and given orders, which is hard to cope with," Ellis says. "It'll be really, really boring."

At least he'll have time to write more pervy fiction.

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