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Dolphins vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds for NFL Week 2

Dolphins vs. Patriots Prediction.

Dolphins vs. Patriots prediction and betting preview.

Sep. 17 2023, Published 12:00 p.m. ET

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The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots battle it out in an NFL Week 2 matchup at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, starting at 8:20 p.m. ET.

Get the inside scoop with this Dolphins vs. Patriots betting preview, which includes the latest betting odds and our best bet of the game.

According to the latest odds from Bet365, the Dolphins are the favored team against the Patriots on Sunday. The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5.

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Dolphins vs. Patriots 2023 Preview

When and Where

  • Teams: Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
  • Date: Sunday, September 17, 2023
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium

Odds and Lines

  • Point spread: Dolphins -3 (-105), Patriots +3 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Dolphins -154, Patriots +135
  • Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-110)

The odds and lines provided in this article are the best available at the time of publishing but are subject to change.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Prediction

Radar Sports has joined forces with to run a whopping 10,000 simulations of the Dolphins vs. Patriots game using independent data and analytics to predict the most likely scenarios for your benefit.

Drumroll, please! According to Dimers' cutting-edge computer model, the Dolphins have a 61% chance of beating the Patriots at Gillette Stadium.

The model also predicts that the bookies have got it right and both the Dolphins and Patriots have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 53% chance of going under.

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Keep in mind that the predictions and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publishing but are subject to change.

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Best Bet for Dolphins vs. Patriots

Our free data-driven pick for the Dolphins vs. Patriots game on Sunday is to bet on under 46.5 points (-110).

➡️ Bet now ⬅️ via DraftKings Sportsbook.

All of the tips in this article are based on detailed simulations and hundreds of data points to deliver you the best possible plays.

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Dolphins-Patriots Week 2 Player Props

A popular option to wager on Miami vs. New England without necessarily betting on the game's outcome is through prop bets.

The most likely first and anytime touchdown scorers for the Dolphins and Patriots can be seen below.

According to our model, Miami's Tyreek Hill has the best chance of scoring the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Patriots.

Hill has a 12.0% chance of scoring the opening TD on Sunday. The Dolphins WR has a 49.2% probability of scoring an anytime touchdown.

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First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities


Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 12.0% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 9.3% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 7.9% probability
  • Braxton Berrios: 6.6% probability
  • De'Von Achane: 6.0% probability

New England Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.5% probability
  • Ezekiel Elliott: 7.0% probability
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster: 5.3% probability
  • Hunter Henry: 4.5% probability
  • DeVante Parker: 4.0% probability

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Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 49.2% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 39.7% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 36.3% probability
  • Braxton Berrios: 30.7% probability
  • De'Von Achane: 27.0% probability

New England Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 42.4% probability
  • Ezekiel Elliott: 31.3% probability
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster: 25.0% probability
  • Hunter Henry: 21.8% probability
  • DeVante Parker: 19.6% probability

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Score Prediction

Radar Sports' crystal ball for Miami vs. New England at Gillette Stadium has the Dolphins winning 24-21.

This prediction is based on both teams' average score after 10,000 game simulations.

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The Final Word on Dolphins vs. Patriots

Sunday's NFL Week 2 game between the Dolphins and Patriots on Sunday is scheduled to begin at 8:20 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium.

If you enjoyed this Dolphins vs. Patriots preview, you're going to love our other offerings!

In collaboration with, Radar Sports brings you a range of exciting content. You can explore the latest NFL betting news or delve into our curated NFL best bets and well-informed NFL predictions covering all the games. Plus, don't miss our expertly selected Super Bowl picks designed to enhance your futures betting experience.

All the predictions and probabilities on this page are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of Sunday's Dolphins vs. Patriots matchup and are correct at the time of publishing to help you make better decisions when placing an online bet.

If you are planning on using these predictions for your personal gambling, it is important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

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About the Author

Ben Tufts |

Ben Tufts is a sports betting writer and reporter for Cipher Sports Technology Group, and regular contributor to several prominent industry websites, including, lauded for their data-driven predictive sports analytics. Known for co-creating and co-hosting an award winning sports talk podcast, Ben graduated magna cum laude from Quinnipiac University with a bachelor of arts degree in media studies, Ben's expertise lies in the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as sports betting industry politics. His passion for sports and sports betting, combined with his diligent, methodical reporting and research, set Ben apart as a valuable asset to the sports betting community.



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