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Bears vs. Chiefs Prediction, Odds for NFL Week 3

Chiefs vs. Bears Prediction.

Chiefs vs. Bears prediction and betting preview.

Sep. 24 2023, Published 12:30 p.m. ET

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The Chicago Bears and Kansas City Chiefs are set to face off in an NFL Week 3 matchup at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. Kickoff is at 4:25 p.m. ET.

Get the inside scoop with this Bears vs. Chiefs betting preview, which features the latest betting odds and our best bet of the game.

According to the latest odds from Bet365, the Chiefs are favored to win against the Bears on Sunday. The over/under is set at 48.5 for total points scored.

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Bears vs. Chiefs 2023 Preview

Key Information

  • Teams: Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs
  • Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Odds and Lines

  • Point spread: Bears +12.5 (-108), Chiefs -12.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Bears +570, Chiefs -750
  • Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-105/-115)

Please note that the odds and lines mentioned in this article are the best available at the time of publishing but are subject to change.

Bears vs. Chiefs Prediction

Radar Sports has partnered with to run a whopping 10,000 simulations of the Bears vs. Chiefs game using trusted machine learning to predict the most likely outcomes for your benefit.

Let's dive into it – who's going to win? According to Dimers' high-tech computer model, the Chiefs have an 84% chance of winning against the Bears at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Furthermore, the model predicts that the Bears (+12.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 48.5 points has a 56% chance of going under.

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Keep in mind that the predictions and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

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Best Bet for Bears vs. Chiefs

Our free data-driven pick for the Bears vs. Chiefs game on Sunday is to bet on under 48.5 points (-115).

➡️ Bet now ⬅️ with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All of the tips in this article are based on detailed predictive analytics and hundreds of different factors to help you make smarter investments.

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Bears-Chiefs Week 3 Player Props

An enjoyable way to wager on Chicago vs. Kansas City without necessarily betting on the game's outcome is through player props.

The most likely first and anytime touchdown scorers for the Bears and Chiefs can be seen below.

According to our model, Kansas City's Travis Kelce has the best chance of scoring the first touchdown in Bears vs. Chiefs.

Kelce has an 11.0% chance of scoring the opening TD on Sunday. The Chiefs TE has a 47.6% probability of scoring an anytime touchdown.

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First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities


Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields: 7.1% probability
  • DJ Moore: 5.4% probability
  • Roschon Johnson: 5.1% probability
  • Khalil Herbert: 4.8% probability
  • Chase Claypool: 4.1% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Travis Kelce: 11.0% probability
  • Kadarius Toney: 6.8% probability
  • Isiah Pacheco: 6.7% probability
  • Jerick McKinnon: 6.3% probability
  • Skyy Moore: 5.4% probability
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Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields: 34.0% probability
  • DJ Moore: 27.4% probability
  • Roschon Johnson: 26.2% probability
  • Khalil Herbert: 24.7% probability
  • Chase Claypool: 21.9% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Travis Kelce: 47.6% probability
  • Kadarius Toney: 33.0% probability
  • Isiah Pacheco: 32.3% probability
  • Jerick McKinnon: 29.6% probability
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 26.0% probability

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Bears vs. Chiefs Score Prediction

Radar Sports' predicted final score for Chicago vs. Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium has the Chiefs winning 29-18.

This prediction is based on both teams' average score after 10,000 game simulations.

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The Final Word on Bears vs. Chiefs

Sunday's NFL Week 3 matchup between the Bears and Chiefs on Sunday is scheduled to start at 4:25 p.m. ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

If you enjoyed this Bears vs. Chiefs preview, you're going to love our other offerings!

In collaboration with, Radar Sports brings you a range of exciting content. You can explore the latest NFL betting news or delve into our curated NFL best bets and well-informed NFL predictions covering all the games. Plus, don't miss our expertly selected Super Bowl picks designed to enhance your futures betting experience.

All the predictions and probabilities on this page are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of Sunday's Bears vs. Chiefs game and are correct at the time of publishing to help you make better decisions when placing an online bet.

Sports betting can be exciting, but it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

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About the Author

Ben Tufts |

Ben Tufts is a sports betting writer and reporter for Cipher Sports Technology Group, and regular contributor to several prominent industry websites, including, lauded for their data-driven predictive sports analytics. Known for co-creating and co-hosting an award winning sports talk podcast, Ben graduated magna cum laude from Quinnipiac University with a bachelor of arts degree in media studies, Ben's expertise lies in the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as sports betting industry politics. His passion for sports and sports betting, combined with his diligent, methodical reporting and research, set Ben apart as a valuable asset to the sports betting community.



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